Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.059205 0.069237 0.080417 0.093796 0.109370 0.126926 0.148221
2025-09-21 0.042152 0.054774 0.070343 0.090946 0.117491 0.150541 0.194840
2025-09-28 0.032196 0.045364 0.062923 0.088019 0.122959 0.169885 0.237746
2025-10-05 0.027174 0.040920 0.060457 0.090201 0.134320 0.197352 0.294331
2025-10-12 0.023155 0.036936 0.057635 0.090916 0.143057 0.221625 0.349130
2025-10-19 0.019996 0.033584 0.055025 0.091220 0.150759 0.244832 0.404915
2025-10-26 0.017712 0.031177 0.053401 0.092619 0.160054 0.271284 0.468885
2025-11-02 0.016089 0.029576 0.052778 0.095429 0.171824 0.302919 0.545209
2025-11-09 0.013803 0.026438 0.049043 0.092235 0.172639 0.315865 0.590640
2025-11-16 0.012296 0.024477 0.047088 0.091886 0.178346 0.337834 0.654674
2025-11-23 0.010946 0.022603 0.045013 0.090969 0.182757 0.357778 0.717166
2025-11-30 0.010087 0.021567 0.044377 0.092703 0.192404 0.388551 0.804093
2025-12-07 0.009014 0.019960 0.042447 0.091676 0.196600 0.409614 0.875253
2025-12-14 0.007956 0.018231 0.040039 0.089337 0.197803 0.424861 0.936607
2025-12-21 0.007003 0.016589 0.037586 0.086545 0.197631 0.437157 0.993167
2025-12-28 0.006555 0.016023 0.037393 0.088708 0.208576 0.474379 1.108843
2026-01-04 0.006048 0.015245 0.036613 0.089414 0.216291 0.505388 1.214395
2026-01-11 0.005569 0.014462 0.035717 0.089714 0.223072 0.535052 1.320520
2026-01-18 0.005204 0.013910 0.035293 0.091090 0.232593 0.572149 1.448948
2026-01-25 0.004949 0.013602 0.035422 0.093855 0.245876 0.619725 1.608906
2026-02-01 0.004414 0.012475 0.033347 0.090712 0.243827 0.629718 1.675996
2026-02-08 0.004070 0.011816 0.032391 0.090369 0.248977 0.658251 1.794257
2026-02-15 0.003735 0.011134 0.031283 0.089467 0.252522 0.683091 1.905924